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SEC Sends Warning to Uniswap: Can DEX Tokens Witness a Severe Plummet in 2024?

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SEC Notice Sent to Uniswap Raises Concerns for DEX Tokens

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has recently sent a Wells notice to Uniswap, indicating potential enforcement for operating as an unregistered securities exchange. This news has had a significant impact on the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector, leading to concerns about similar actions against other decentralized exchange (DEX) tokens. As a result, the top DEX tokens by market cap have experienced a sharp decline.

While most DEX tokens have already been on a downtrend over the past week, the SEC notice to Uniswap is unlikely to provide a positive boost to the sector. Market participants are now questioning the future of DEX tokens, including Uniswap’s native token UNI, and speculating on the broader implications for similar platforms in the DeFi sector.

If the SEC follows through with a lawsuit against Uniswap, it is highly likely that other DEX platforms will also see a drop in their token prices. Traders may panic sell DEX-related tokens until these firms clarify their legal and regulatory status. On the other hand, any DEX that manages to obtain regulatory clarity from the SEC would attract a significant number of buyers.

In response to the SEC notice, Uniswap has released a blog post asserting that its platform and the UNI token comply with existing laws. The blog also highlights the legal complexities faced by decentralized platforms. Uniswap reassures its users that all of its current products will remain available despite the SEC notice. The DEX argues that the SEC lacks congressional authority to regulate crypto tokens as securities, emphasizing that they do not qualify as investment contracts under existing laws. Uniswap references court decisions and congressional testimony to support its position.

It is important to note that the lawsuit against Uniswap has not been filed yet. Uniswap Labs founder Hayden Adams expressed his readiness to fight against the SEC in a post on X. However, Consensys senior counsel Bill Hughes clarified that the SEC has only indicated its plans to file a suit. Given SEC Chairman Gary Gensler’s history, it is highly likely that a lawsuit will be filed in the near future.

The DeFi community has rallied around Uniswap, showing strong support and emphasizing the importance of navigating regulatory challenges together. The SEC notice to Uniswap highlights the ongoing dialogue between regulatory bodies and the DeFi world, which will shape the future of decentralized finance.

Following the news of the potential lawsuit, the price of UNI has experienced a sharp decline. The token has dropped nearly 23% since April 10th, reaching a daily low near $8.7 on April 11th. However, there are signs of buyers returning to the market following Uniswap’s promise to fight back. It is likely that the price of UNI will continue to decline and test its 200-day EMA support near $8.4. If the immediate support is breached, the price could test the 0.236 FIB level support near $7.06.

On the flip side, once the fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) surrounding the SEC notice clears, buyers may re-enter the market, driving the price of UNI towards the resistance near $10.7. Flipping the immediate resistance would allow Uniswap’s price to target the resistance near $12.4 before any correction.

The relative strength index for UNI remains neutral but is on the oversold threshold, with a score of 30.84 on the daily chart.

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