Cardano’s ADA token struggles to regain upside momentum
Cardano’s ADA token is struggling to regain upside momentum, with prices dropping to $0.61. The altcoin continues underperforming the broader market, and investment flows reflect the waning institutional interest.
According to CoinShares, ADA-linked investment products attracted only $0.4 million in inflows last week—a muted figure compared to peer assets like Solana and Ethereum, which saw stronger capital rotation.
The lack of conviction comes at a time when Cardano’s leadership is proposing a bold pivot. Founder Charles Hoskinson has outlined plans to deploy a portion of the project’s $1.2 billion treasury into Bitcoin and stablecoins. He aims to establish what he calls crypto’s first sovereign wealth fund.
While the move draws parallels with corporate strategies adopted by firms such as MicroStrategy and Metaplanet, which added Bitcoin to their balance sheets, it remains unclear whether a protocol-level treasury reallocation will trigger the same kind of market confidence.
For ADA, the timing is critical. With prices approaching a key technical juncture and sentiment split across the board, any misstep could reinforce the market’s broader disinterest in mid-cap altcoins with unclear upside catalysts.
ADA Price Moving Bearishly Inside A Bullish Setup
The ADA USD pair formed a technical setup called the falling wedge—a pattern typically considered bullish in technical analysis. The formation is defined by two descending, converging trendlines, with the upper line acting as dynamic resistance and the lower as rising support. This setup signals a gradual decline in selling pressure and often precedes a breakout to the upside, provided bulls regain momentum near the wedge’s apex.
Currently, ADA price has just retested the upper resistance of the wedge but failed to break above it. The rejection signals continued control by sellers in the short term, postponing any immediate breakout.
For a confirmed reversal, bulls must reclaim the horizontal resistance near $0.722. This level aligns closely with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and has previously acted as a rejection zone, making it a critical flip point.
If ADA clears that hurdle, the next key resistance is near $0.834. The level capped price action during multiple rallies since May 2025 and remains a psychological ceiling for momentum traders. A sustained breakout above both resistances would validate the wedge pattern and open the door for a move toward the projected price target near $1.16, a spike of over 90% from current levels.
Additionally, ADA’s immediate support lies near the 200-week EMA at $0.570. A failure to hold that level would expose the wedge’s lower boundary, putting further pressure on buyers. A deeper weakness could even test the 0.236 Fibonacci level near $0.474. This would jeopardize the structure’s integrity and raise breakdown risks if volume support evaporates.
The relative strength index remained neutral, with a score of 44.67 on the weekly charts.
Hoskinson’s Treasury Strategy Does Not Sit Well With Crypto X
Cardano is back in the spotlight after founder Charles Hoskinson proposed a controversial new use of its $1.2 billion treasury. His idea is to convert a portion of ADA reserves into Bitcoin and stablecoins. His plan is then to deploy those assets into yield-generating strategies to buy back ADA over time.
Hoskinson framed the move as a way to create crypto’s first “sovereign wealth fund,” but the market response has been anything but uniform.
Critics immediately questioned the logic. Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko dismissed the idea. He argued that projects should limit their treasuries to short-term Treasury bills for operational runway, not speculative crypto reserves.
Yakovenko questioned the logic of letting a project team manage Bitcoin holdings on behalf of users when individuals could buy and hold it themselves. Others, like analyst Aaron Dishner, highlighted the contradiction of a mid-cap token investing in a higher-ranked competitor. He described it as an implicit admission of Bitcoin’s dominance.
Meanwhile, Hoskinson shared that one of Donald Trump’s senior aides holds ADA. This was a revelation he described as the “best day of his life.” While the political tie added a layer of visibility, it did little to shift market sentiment around the treasury proposal.
While Hoskinson’s goals are not very novel, more like a crypto version of the Strategy playbook, their execution and regulatory clarity will determine the plan’s credibility. Unless Cardano can attract stablecoin liquidity and DeFi TVL on-chain, the treasury maneuver could risk being viewed as more optics than substance.